Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 2.104443 2.399217 2.720227 3.095758 3.523058 3.994192 4.553184
2025-09-14 1.600915 1.990658 2.452629 3.040604 3.769316 4.643277 5.771992
2025-09-21 1.330421 1.756280 2.291398 3.013215 3.962036 5.167806 6.818740
2025-09-28 1.133938 1.572258 2.150060 2.967543 4.095306 5.598201 7.757055
2025-10-05 1.067731 1.544925 2.200660 3.167628 4.558714 6.490497 9.383341
2025-10-12 0.961845 1.445935 2.136394 3.193082 4.771446 7.045742 10.580960
2025-10-19 0.898114 1.398071 2.135822 3.303820 5.109320 7.800053 12.127482
2025-10-26 0.811876 1.305399 2.056982 3.284888 5.244335 8.257154 13.258061
2025-11-02 0.740028 1.226486 1.989497 3.273324 5.383920 8.725423 14.438347
2025-11-09 0.667400 1.138214 1.897541 3.211178 5.432323 9.047205 15.402420
2025-11-16 0.623378 1.092382 1.869033 3.248538 5.644055 9.646057 16.870574
2025-11-23 0.584673 1.051425 1.844066 3.287836 5.859494 10.264286 18.419247
2025-11-30 0.533840 0.988145 1.781636 3.268092 5.991940 10.789042 19.924037
2025-12-07 0.481556 0.917541 1.700775 3.209864 6.054871 11.206953 21.298727
2025-12-14 0.439971 0.861801 1.640251 3.180952 6.165426 11.715794 22.884672
2025-12-21 0.400752 0.806111 1.573736 3.132741 6.232420 12.146284 24.358788
2025-12-28 0.396847 0.818894 1.638199 3.343949 6.821394 13.620900 28.016017
2026-01-04 0.372025 0.786867 1.611748 3.370819 7.044900 14.401530 30.355513
2026-01-11 0.358878 0.777372 1.629014 3.487712 7.461710 15.603296 33.674500
2026-01-18 0.333335 0.738965 1.583214 3.467728 7.589495 16.223898 35.826447
2026-01-25 0.310895 0.704911 1.543115 3.455522 7.731647 16.885242 38.127323
2026-02-01 0.285955 0.662739 1.481541 3.389920 7.749780 17.281269 39.877929
2026-02-08 0.271692 0.643269 1.467665 3.429358 8.005774 18.217854 42.936646